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Saturday, February 16, 2008
Michael Barone :: Townhall.com Columnist
A Super Fight Down the Road
by Michael Barone
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It's appropriate that our two major political parties are depicted as different animals. Forty days and forty nights out from the Iowa caucuses, the elephant and the donkey seem very different indeed. The Republicans have been split on attitudinal lines, between varying strains of conservatism and moderation.

And their delegate selection rules, based on their notion of fairness, have produced a clear and unambiguous outcome.

The Democrats, in contrast, have been split on demographic lines, between blacks and Latinos, old and young, upscale and downscale. The delegate selection rules, based on their notion of fairness, are heading the party not to a clear outcome but to a conflict in which the losing side is likely to feel profoundly aggrieved.

Winner-take-all is the Republican idea of fairness. The party seeks unity and uniformity, and doesn't encourage dissent. You know the rules in advance, and if you come out ahead you get the big prize. Thus, few Republicans thought it unfair when John McCain got all 58 delegates from Missouri on Super Tuesday after beating Mike Huckabee there 33 percent to 32 percent.

McCain has gotten only a minority of ALL primary votes and has fared poorly in caucuses, but he has clinched the party's nomination, however long radio talk show hosts carp and Mike Huckabee campaigns.

For the Democrats, the carping may just be starting. The Democrats' idea of fairness is proportional representation.

This makes sense for a party that typically has been made up of disparate minorities. The current rules came out of the 1988 contest, in which Jesse Jackson felt his voters were underrepresented. The problem is that the contest between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama has been so close that neither has built a significant lead -- or is likely to do so in the contests still to come. Continued...

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About The Author
Michael Barone is a senior writer with U.S. News & World Report and the principal co-author of The Almanac of American Politics, published by National Journal every two years. He is also author of Our Country: The Shaping of America from Roosevelt to Reagan, The New Americans: How the Melting Pot Can Work Again, the just-released Hard America, Soft America: Competition vs. Coddling and the Competition for the Nation's Future.
 
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Subject: Obama And The Politics Of Hope Winning
Despite Obama's efforts to run a clean and decent campaign devoid of the usual mud-slinging, it appears that this election had been polarized along racial, gender, sexual orientation and age lines with a lot of media bias against Billary, in favor of Obama. More African Americans have voted for Obama (racial) as well as more whites have voted for Billary (racial). More younger voters adored and voted for Obama more than Billary (age). Older women, lesbians, bisexuals and transgenders have voted for Billary, more than Obama (sexual orientation). More Latinos and Hispanics in California have voted for Billary more than Obama (racial). This shows that American voters are still uneducated and naive. You cannot vote for a candidate based on media hype and bias, race, gender, sexual orientation and age. You should vote for a candidate based on his agenda and his ability to implement that agenda for the good of the whole country. yoga.secret33.com


This is Fun
While as a libertarian/conservative, I am not very happy with the Republican nominee, it is MORE than compensated by all the enjoyment I am deriving from watching the Dems. Frankly, I think Hillary is done. Even if she does manage to secure the nomination, you can kiss the big turnout, and 99.99% of the enthusiasm goodbye.

I supect that a reasonable number of Barakiacs will go to McCain, and a large proportion to simply stay home. If you analyze the electoral map, it is indeed dismal for Hillary. While she can possibly win Ohio, there appears to be no other 2004 red state where she can beat McCain. Furthermore, he will give her all she can handle in Penn, Minn, and Wash. She may even have to expend resources in NJ. Unless the Clintoons (sic) have a VERY large FBI file on McCain, she is toast.
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