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Friday, November 30, 2007
Romney's Bus-Load of Iowa Expectations ...
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 4:58 PM


Back on October 23, I asked, "Is Romney Losing the Iowa Expectations Game."  I was ahead of the curve, as the topic is being debated today here, here, and here.

Here's an excerpt of what I wrote:

... the expectations are now set that Romney has spent so much time and energy in Iowa that the candidate who finishes in second-place should still be far behind Romney.  In short, it's not enough for Romney to win; he has to devastate his opponents.  That's setting the bar pretty high.

The theory is that by working so hard in Iowa, Romney may have inadvertently created a situation in which there is little upside to winning, and where finishing second would be devastating.

Let's suppose Mike Huckabee, for example, finishes close behind Romney, in second place, while spending a fraction of the money.  Huckabee's team might then spin the results and argue they actually won Iowa.  Of course, if this were effective, it might also diminish the bump Romney would receive coming out of the state ...

... Is there such a thing as working too hard?  Maybe.  By raising expectations, Mitt Romney may have created an atmosphere in which a mere win may not be satisfying ...

It seems to be happening.




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Comments Comments

Infanticide
 Re: "Render Unto Caesar" and "Vote for Real Hope and Change" by Archbishop Charles Chaput
  By Jon.nine
Nobody's Choice For VP
 Re: Trusting Government More than Themselves
  By kingsXrulz
dmac, Huck and Mitt
 Re: Romney or Pawlenty on August 29
  By Pro
Huck was never VP chance
 Re: Romney or Pawlenty on August 29
  By dmac
PC, OM7, and the VP
 Re: Romney or Pawlenty on August 29
  By Pro
Pro
 Re: Romney or Pawlenty on August 29
  By dmac
K.G.
 Re: Romney or Pawlenty on August 29
  By dmac
Big G, religion card not the LDS card
 Re: Romney or Pawlenty on August 29
  By Pro
typo - time to go to bed
 Re: Romney or Pawlenty on August 29
  By PC
K,G..... I say, put her on...
 Re: Romney or Pawlenty on August 29
  By poyman
KG
 Re: Romney or Pawlenty on August 29
  By PC
Pro
 Re: Romney or Pawlenty on August 29
  By PC
poyman: I've Always Enjoyed Your
 Re: Romney or Pawlenty on August 29
  By K.G.
pc
 Re: Romney or Pawlenty on August 29
  By cimarrone
Double standard con'd
 Re: Smearing McCain
  By Dale
Fair weather pro lifers & scorched earth
 Re: Romney or Pawlenty on August 29
  By Pro
Correction... I meant to say
 Re: Romney or Pawlenty on August 29
  By poyman
I've read the thread... and offer (P II)